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Can Manchester City Take Top Spot in the Premier League at Everton on Wednesday?


This Wednesday evening, kicking off at 7.45pm and live on Sky Sports, Manchester City will have the opportunity to move back to the top of the Premier League table if they can land any kind of victory against Everton at Goodison Park. Liverpool’s 1-1 draw at West Ham on Monday night meaning that while the Reds are three points clear of City, they do have a slightly inferior goal difference.

The Toffees, who are in the midst of a poor run of home form in the Premier League, could threaten to throw a spanner in the works however as they have a good home record against Manchester City over the years, although it should also be noted that City won this corresponding fixture last season by a somewhat emphatic 3-1 scoreline and they also repeated that score in the home game at the Etihad between the teams in December.

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Before we bring you our tips for the match, we are going to preview both the teams and how their current form compares as well as who will be the likely starting XI for each team at Goodison Park.

Current Form

Everton (last 10 games in all competitions)

  • V Wolves (H) – L 1-3
  • V Huddersfield (A) – W 1-0
  • V Millwall (A) – L 2-3 (FA Cup)
  • V Southampton (A) – L 1-2
  • V Bournemouth (H) – W 2-0
  • V Lincoln City (H) – W 2-1 (FA Cup)
  • V Leicester City (H) – L 0-1
  • V Tottenham (H) – L 2-6
  • V Manchester City (A) – L 1-3
  • V Watford (H) – D 2-2

Last Ten Record – Won – 3, Drew 1, Lost 6. For 14, Against – 21.

Everton’s struggles at home are clearly evident in this run as they have suffered defeats on home soil to Tottenham, Leicester and Wolves in recent weeks, as well as earning a draw with Watford. The only Premier League victory at Goodison over that period came against Bournemouth.

Man City (last 10 games in all competitions)

  • V Arsenal (H) – W 3-1
  • V Newcastle (A) – L 1-2
  • V Burnley (H) – W 5-0 (FA Cup)
  • V Burton (A) – W 1-0 (Carabao Cup Semi Final 2nd Leg)
  • V Huddersfield (A) – W 3-0
  • V Wolves (H) – W 3-0
  • V Burton (H) – W 9-0 (Carabao Cup Semi Final 1st Leg)
  • V Rotherham (H) – W 7-0 (FA Cup)
  • V Liverpool (H) – W 2-1
  • V Southampton (A) – W 3-1

Last Ten Record – Won 9, Drew 0, Lost 1 – For 37 Against 8

In contrast to Everton’s form, the only blemish on Manchester City’s record in the last ten games was that defeat at Newcastle United. Otherwise City have been perfect in their other fixtures, rattling in plenty of goals and securing victories. They were impressive in beating Arsenal 3-1 at the Etihad at the weekend and will come into this game full of confidence.

Head to Head Record – Everton v Man City

The two teams have met a total of 185 times in their histories and it is a very close call between the two. Manchester City just have the better of the record, winning 70 of those games compared to 68 wins for the Toffeemen, while 47 matches between the teams have finished in draws.

City do have the better record of the teams over recent times and since October 2013, they have won seven, drawn four and lost just two of those games. However, City’s record at Everton isn’t great with both those defeats coming at Goodison, although one was a League Cup victory for Everton back in January 2016.

Five of the last six games between the teams have seen both teams score and there have been just two 0-0 scorelines between the teams since April 1990.

Predicted Teams

Everton

Manager – Marco Silva

Formation – 4-5-1

Predicted Line Up

  • Gk – Jordan Pickford
  • Dr – Seamus Coleman
  • Dl – Lucas Digne
  • Dc – Michael Keane
  • Dc – Kurt Zouma
  • Mc – Andre Gomes
  • Mc – idrissa Gueye/Tom Davies
  • AMr – Bernardo
  • AMl – Theo Walcott
  • AMc – Gylfi Sigurdsson
  • Ac – Richarlison

I can see Silva adopting a more cautious 4-5-1 rather than 4-3-3 for this game to try and stop City having so much possession in midfield. If Gueye is not fit then Tom Davies will likely start the game in midfield, or Silva could bring Bernardo back into a more central role, and perhaps play another striker, such as Calvert-Lewin with Richarlison moving into a wider role.

Manchester City

Manager – Pep Guardiola

Formation – 4-3-3

Predicted Line Up

  • Gk – Ederson
  • Dr – Walker
  • Dl – Laporte
  • Dc – Otamendi
  • Dc – Stones
  • DMC – Fernandinho
  • Mc – David Silva
  • Mc – Bernardo Silva
  • AMr – Raheem Sterling
  • AMl – Leroy Sane
  • Ac – Gabriel Jesus

Having played a full role against Arsenal in the week and with Chelsea coming up at the weekend, I think a big call for Pep Guardiola here will be to rest Sergio Aguero and play Gabriel Jesus in attack. I expect De Bruyne also to be rested for this game with Bernardo Silva coming back in for him and Sane coming in down the left for Mahrez. The left back slot remains City’s biggest problem area and I think Laporte will continue there with Stones coming into central defence allowing Fernandinho to move into his more usual central midfield role.

Everton v Man City Tips

Full Time Result – Manchester City to win – 3/10

It’s no big surprise I am backing City here. They have a dominant record in this fixture overall over the last few years, they are by far and away the form team and although they have a busy fixture list, they are looking strong and physically fit to meet the demands of them. Even with a couple of players rotated City are hardly any weaker and with Everton shipping an alarming number of goals at home, I think City will do a number on them here.

Correct Score – Everton 1-4 Manchester City – 16/1

As you may have guessed, I can see Everton really struggling in this game. City will want to put in an away performance to take full advantage of Liverpool’s draw at West Ham and in truth, there are many Everton fans who won’t mind one jot if City were to win this game to jump ahead of Liverpool in the title race. That’s not to say Everton will play to lose, of course they won’t, but I can’t see the atmosphere at Goodison being as white hot for this game and I think that all plays in City’s favour. As such, with their free-flowing attack, if Spurs can grab six at Goodison then I feel City are good enough to get at least four.

Anytime Goalscorer – Leroy Sane (Man City) – 11/10

City’s wingers are so vital in their team that they are contributing key goals and Sane is part of that. The German winger has recovered from a slow start to the season to become a key player for City in recent months and he is certainly due to grab a goal sooner rather than later and I fancy him to be amongst the scorers for the visitors on Wednesday night.