Carabao Cup Final Predictions, Preview And Tips For Chelsea V Liverpool
Having been moved back to its customary date in February this year, Sunday 27th will see Chelsea take on Liverpool in what looks like being a thrilling Carabao Cup Final.
The two teams, who are lying third and second in the Premier League table respectively, will be hoping to claim the win and with it the first trophy of the season available to Premier League clubs (not including the Community Shield).
After our preview of the two semi-finals, we are back with a look ahead to the big game and in addition to giving you our preview of the game, we will also be giving you what. Tips we like the look of for the match, with odds provided by bet365 Sport.
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Carabao Cup 2021/22 Review
The tournament has been another big success for the top Premier League sides, with many able to give youngsters and fringe players a chance to play in games in the earlier rounds of the tournament. West Ham were one team that didn’t really follow that, picking strong teams and in doing so, they eliminated both Manchester City and Manchester United from the tournament.
Considering that these two teams had won the last six Carabao Cup finals between them, it was a significant moment in the competition, as it meant Manchester City could not beat the record of four consecutive wins of the trophy, a record they share with Liverpool at four.
Tottenham and north London rivals Arsenal made it through into what were two very glamorous semi-final ties against Chelsea and Liverpool respectively.
Let’s now take a look at how both Chelsea and Liverpool managed to progress through the tournament to reach the final.
Chelsea’s Road To Wembley
- Third Round – v Aston Villa (H) – D 1-1 (W 4-3 pens) – (Werner 54)
- Fourth Round – v Southampton (H) – D 1-1 (W 4-3 on pens) – (Havertz 44)
- Quarter Finals – v Brentford (A) – W 2-0 (Jansson OG 80, Jorginho 85 (pen.))
- Semi Finals 1st Leg – v Tottenham (H) W 2-0 (Havertz 5, Davies OG 34)
- Semi Finals 2nd Leg – v Tottenham (A) W 1-0 (Rudiger 18) – Won 3-0 on aggregate
Liverpool’s Road To Wembley
- Third Round – v Norwich C (A) – W 3-0 (Minamino 4, 80, Origi 50)
- Fourth Round – v Preston NE (A) – W 2-0 (Minamino 62, Origi 84)
- Quarter Finals – v Leicester (H) – D 3-3 (W 5-4 pens) – (Oxlade-Chamberlain 19, Jota 68, Minamino 90)
- Semi Finals 1st Leg – v Arsenal (H) – D 0-0
- Semi Finals 2nd Leg – v Arsenal (A) – W 2-0 (Jota 19,77) – W 2-0 on aggregate
- Kepa Arrizabalaga
- Eduoard Mendy
- Marcus Bettinelli
- Antonio Rudiger
- Marcos Alonso
- Andreas Christensen
- Thiago Silva
- Trevor Chalobah
- Ben Chilwell (Inj)
- Reece James
- Malang Sarr
- Cesar Azpilicueta (Capt)
- N’Golo Kante
- Mateo Kovacic
- Ruben Loftus-Cheek
- Saul Niguez
- Ross Barkley
- Mason Mount
- Hakim Ziyech
- Kai Havertz
- Romelu Lukaku
- Christian Pulisic
- Timo Werner
- Callum Hudson-Odoi
- Thomas Tuchel
Thomas Tuchel is yet to be beaten by Liverpool since taking over as Chelsea manager, winning one and drawing the last two games against the Reds. However, the German will know that this chance of silverware is one that his team and fans will be desperate to take.
As such, I can’t see Tuchel naming a weaker team here and I’d expect a full strength Chelsea side, with perhaps only Kepa coming in for Mendy in goal, to line up in this game.
Possible Chelsea XI (4-2-3-1) – Kepa, Azpilicueta, Alonso, Silva, Rudiger, Kante, Kovacic, Mount, Ziyech, Havertz, Lukaku.
- Caoimhin Kelleher
- Virgil van Dijk
- Ibrahima Konate
- Joe Gomez
- Kostas Tsimikas
- Andrew Robertson
- Joel Matip
- Rhys Williams
- Trent Alexander Arnold
- Conor Bradley
- James Milner
- Naby Keita
- Jordan Henderson (Capt.)
- Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain
- Curtis Jones
- Harvey Elliott
- Tyler Morton
- Roberto Firmino
- Sadio Mane
- Mo Salah
- Diogo Jota
- Luis Diaz
- Divock Origi
- Takumi Minamino
- Kaide Gordon
- Jurgen Klopp
Liverpool have used this competition to play fringe players and blood youngsters and a number of them have done very well this season, with Minamino scoring four times so far in the competition and the likes of Kaide Gordon and Tylor Morton shining when called upon.
However, there is no way I can see Klopp naming anything other than a full-strength side for this game, apart from Kelleher coming in for Alisson in goal, with Klopp already confirming that the young Irishman will get the nod between the sticks for the final.
Probable Liverpool XI – (4-3-3) – Kelleher, Alexander Arnold, Robertson, Konate, Van Dijk, Fabinho, Henderson, Thiago, Mane, Salah, Jota.
Chelsea v Liverpool Comparison
The teams have met twice before this season. They drew 1-1 at Anfield, Kai Havertz giving Chelsea the lead before a Mo Salah penalty pulled Liverpool level at the interval. Chelsea, despite being reduced to ten men for the second half after Reece James sending off, managed to hold off Liverpool to claim a point in that game.
Then in early January, Liverpool went 2-0 up at Stamford Bridge, Mane and Salah scoring the goals, before Chelsea scored twice to level through Kovacic and Pulisic.
Despite Thomas Tuchel not having lost to Liverpool in three games (drawing two, winning one) since taking over as Chelsea boss, Liverpool have won five and drawn three of the last ten between the two teams.
However, Chelsea’s League Cup record is excellent against Liverpool having won four of the last League Cup encounters between the two teams, including the 2005 Final of this competition, which they won 3-2 after extra time.
Carabao Cup Final Latest Betting Odds & Tips
Bet365 Sport are offering odds of 13/10 on Liverpool to win the game, 2/1 on Chelsea landing the win, both inside 90 minutes and odds of 23/10 on the draw at 90 minutes.
This latter option is certainly going to be of interest to punters given that both Premier League games between the two teams this season finished in draws.
I do think Liverpool will likely win the cup, but I think it may take them until extra time or even penalties to do so, so I would certainly be more interested in the draw than either of the two win options listed above.
I also like the odds on Diogo Jota to score at any time, which is an 8/5 chance with bet365 Sport at the time of writing.