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Manchester City v Watford Who Wins the FA Cup Final at Wembley on Saturday?


This coming weekend is one of the most important days of the football calendar as it is also the traditional end of season game as Manchester City face Watford in the FA Cup Final at Wembley Stadium. City are on the verge of a historic quadruple of domestic trophies after already winning the Community Shield, Carabao Cup and the Premier League and the FA Cup would set the seal on a hugely successful season for Pep Guardiola’s team.

They face a Watford side that have had a tougher route to the final than City and who at one point, were 2-0 down in their semifinal against Wolves before staging a remarkable comeback to win 3-2 in extra time. Javi Gracia’s men will start the final, their second FA Cup final, as the big underdogs here against a City team that have been in incredible form of late.

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So, who will come out on top when the two teams face off at Wembley this weekend? Let’s take a quick look at both teams playing in the final before we bring you our tips on how we see the game turning out.

FA Cup Final – The Stats

Manchester City

Road to Wembley

  • 3rd Round – v Rotherham (H) – W 7-0 (Sterling, Foden, Ajayi OG, Jesus, Mahrez, Otamendi, Sane)
  • 4th Round – v Burnley (H) – W 5-0 (Jesus, Silva.B, De Bruyne, Long OG, Aguero)
  • 5th Round – v Newport County (A) – W 4-1 (Sane, Foden 2, Mahrez)
  • Quarterfinals – v Swansea City (A) – W 3-2 (Silva.B, Nordfeldt OG, Aguero)
  • Semifinals – Brighton (N) – W 1-0 (Jesus)

Performance This Season

  • Charity Shield – Winners – Beat Chelsea 2-0.
  • Premier League – 1st98 points from 38 games. 95 Goals Scored, 23 Conceded
  • Carabao Cup – Winners – Beat Chelsea in the Final on 4-3 Penalties.
  • European Competition – Champions League – Quarter Finals – Lost on Away Goals rule to Tottenham (4-4 on aggregate)

Manchester City Squad

  • Goalkeepers – Ederson, Arijanet Muric
  • Defenders – Benjamin Mendy, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Vincent Kompany, Aymeric Laporte, Kyle Walker, Danilo, John Stones, Nicolas Otamendi
  • Midfielders – Fabian Delph, Kevin De Bruyne, Riyad Mahrez, David Silva, Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden, Fernandinho, Ilkay Gundogan,
  • Forwards – Raheem Sterling, Sergio Aguero, Gabriel Jesus, Leroy Sane

Manchester City Probable XI

  • GK – Ederson
  • Dr – Kyle Walker
  • Dl – Benjamin Mendy
  • Dc – John Stones
  • Dc – Aymeric Laporte
  • DMc – Fernandinho
  • Mc – Bernardo Silva
  • Mc – Kevin De Bruyne
  • AMr – Raheem Sterling
  • AMl – Leroy Sane
  • Ac – Gabriel Jesus

Watford

Road to Wembley

  • 3rd Round – v Woking (A) – W 2-0 (Hughes, Deeney)
  • 4th Round – v Newcastle United (A) – W 2-0 (Gray, Success)
  • 5th Round – v Q.P.R (A) – W 1-0 (Capoue)
  • Quarterfinals – v Crystal Palace (H) – W 2-1 (Capoue, Gray)
  • Semifinals – v Wolves (N) – W 3-2 (aet) – (Deulofeu 2, Deeney)

Performance This Season

  • Premier League – 11th – 50 points from 38 games. 52 Goals Scored, 59 Conceded.
  • Carabao Cup – 3rd Round (Lost on 4-2 penalties to Tottenham).
  • European Competition – N/A – Did not qualify for European Competition.

Watford Squad

  • Goalkeepers – Heurelho Gomes, Ben Foster, Pontus Dahlberg
  • Defenders – Jose Holebas, Craig Cathcart, Adam Masina, Daryl Janmaat, Christian Kabasele, Adrian Mariappa, Kiko Femenia, Sebastian Prodl, Miguel Britos, Marc Navarro
  • Midfielders – Roberto Pereyra, Abdoulaye Doucoure, Etienne Capoue, Will Hughes, Ken Sema, Nathaniel Chalobah, Tom Clevereley, Domingos Quina
  • Forwards – Troy Deeney, Andre Grey, Gerard Deulofeu, Adalberto Penaranda, Isaac Success

Watford Probable XI

  • GK – Heurelho Gomes
  • Dr – Kiko Femenia
  • Dl – Jose Holebas
  • Dc – Craig Cathcart
  • Dc – Christian Kabasele
  • DMC – Abdoulaye Doucoure
  • DMC – Etienne Capoue
  • AMr – Gerard Deulofeu
  • AMl – Roberto Pereyra
  • AMc – Will Hughes
  • Ac – Troy Deeney

Head to Head Statistics

  • Played – 28 games
  • Man City Wins – 17
  • Watford Wins – 6
  • Draws – 5

Manchester City have won all of the last ten matches between the teams. They are unbeaten in their last 14 games with Watford and the Hornet’s last win over City was 30 years ago in 1989.

The teams have met in six FA Cup matches out of their 28 games. The first three games were all the same tie as the match went to two replays after two draws, before Watford prevailed 3-1. However, in the three FA Cup ties since between the teams, City have won each time.

This season, Manchester City won the first match between the teams 2-1 at Vicarage Road before defeating Watford 3-1 at the Etihad Stadium in March.

FA Cup Final Tips and Predictions

In terms of who will actually win the final, we have a real David v Goliath contest here. Watford are the massive underdogs, perhaps more so than any other team in an all-Premier League final has been in many years. The quality City possess plus the season that they have had has made this one of the most one-sided finals in many years according to the odds.

However, I can see Watford causing City problems on the counter attack and also if they can push City back and press them enough to win set pieces and corners. Brighton proved City are susceptible here defensively and Tottenham have shown you can score against them, so even though they are underdogs here, I can see Watford perhaps scoring a goal.

The question is will that be enough and in truth, I don’t think it will be. City force teams back to the point where for the majority of the game they are defending their own penalty box and cannot get out and against teams that are brilliant on the counter they can be caught, but I don’t see Watford having the quality to break this press and as such, I see City scoring at least a couple of goals, maybe even a couple more.

At 1/5 to win the FA Cup, City are pretty much unbackable in that market but I think backing a City correct score win of 2-1, which is an 8-1 shot, or backing City to win and both teams to score, which is a 15/8 chance, are both much better value bets.