Top Tips for the World Cup Finals – Part Two – Top Outright Bets
Earlier on this week we brought you our tips for the group stage of the World Cup 2018 in Russia. We will take a closer look at the Round of 16 in a couple of weeks’ time when the group stages are completed and we know the teams that will be contesting the first knockout round of games in Russia.
For this second part of the article however we are going to look at some of the most popular other bets other than betting on the Group Stage that is currently available with our chosen partner Coral Sport. Coral Sport do have a new introductory offer for customers for the World Cup, but remember, you can join any Coral site and use that log in to access Coral Sport (Coral Casino offer is well worth a look, especially if you tend to gamble via mobile).
So alongside our Group Winner bets and the eightfold accumulator we tipped in the last article, what are the other bets that are going to attract plenty of interest from punters in the UK over the coming weeks?
Here’s our tips on some of the most popular betting markets for World Cup 2018.
England Group Stage Specials
Interest in England is always high when a World Cup is on (and we’ve managed to qualify) and Coral are offering a total of six specials bets based on England’s performances in the Group Stage of the tournament.
- Total Group Stage Goals Scored – Under 5.5 – 7/10, Over 5.5 – Evens
The question is do you think England can average two goals a game against Tunisia, Panama and Belgium? Gareth Southgate’s team tend not to be prolific goalscorers, and they are somewhat wasteful in front of goal at times. As such, this leads me to believe that the better option here is the Under 5.5 option, even if it is shorter odds.
- Total Headed Goals in the Group Stage – Under 1.5 – 4/7, Over 1.5 – 23/20
England have scored a number of headed goals in recent games and with Harry Kane strong in the air, plus Eric Dier and the centre backs dangerous at corners and set plays, I think England will seek to utilise this to their advantage, especially against Tunisia and Panama. As such, I think the Over 1.5 Headed Goals market is a solid choice here.
- Group Stage Goals Conceded – Under 2.5 Goals – 7/10, Over 2.5 Goals – Even
The one thing I am confident about with this England team is that they don’t tend to concede too many goals. I can’t see Panama, Tunisia or Belgium scoring three or more against us, hence I think the Under 2.5 Goals Conceded option is the clear value bet here.
- Group Stage Yellow Cards – Under 4.5 Yellows 8/13, Over 4.5 Yellows – 6/5
Being brutally honest, I would hang fire on making this bet until the tournament is underway as the amount of yellows a team picks up can be hugely influenced by how FIFA direct the referees to apply the laws of the game. The first few games of a World Cup always set the tone and if yellow cards are flying out in these opening games, then it is likely that trend will continue. My gut instinct here is the Over 4.5 Yellows will be the best bet but as I say, this is a bet I would not make until the Monday of the first England game.
- England to finish second in Group G – 11/10 with Coral
Coral have a number of bets on Group G and I think this better than even money option on England finishing second in the group is a very good bet. As I say, Belgium will likely score more goals than England and as a result, even if they are tied on points, Belgium would likely come out on top here. Similarly, you could also make a Straight Forecast bet on Group G backing Belgium to come first and England second at 6/5, alternatively if you are more optimistic about England’s chances, you can back England to finish first and Belgium second at 8/5.
World Cup Outright Bets
To Reach the World Cup Quarter Finals – Croatia 15/8
A lot of the top teams are odds on to reach the quarter finals, but having simulated the groups and the knockout phase Round of 16, and gone through several permutations, I think Croatia are the best value bet at 15/8 here. They may draw France in the Round of 16, which is why their odds are so long compared to other teams, but if they can finish top of their group, a much easier challenge likely against Denmark or Peru awaits them and Argentina are so shaky at the moment that anything is possible in that Group D. Similarly, if you fancy a massive outsider, Iceland are 10/1 to reach the quarterfinals as they did at Euro 2016 and if they can finish top of Group D, which is a big, big ask, then they stand a great chance of doing so.
World Cup Top Goalscorer – Messi 9/1
It’s perhaps unsurprising to see Messi and Neymar as the joint 9/1 favourites to win the Golden Boot and in truth, I think backing against either of these players is not a sensible move. Both are the key focus for their team, both are in teams that will be looking for at least the semi-finals, if not better and both have a realistic chance of inspiring their team to win it.
For me though, Neymar had his opportunity in Brazil 2014 and injury robbed him of that. As such, I think this is the World Cup Messi proves he is the greatest player of all time. To do that I think he will need to be top goalscorer in Russia and for Argentina to win the World Cup. I think at 9/1, Messi is a good bet for top goalscorer, especially with a leaky defence reliant on him scoring goals.
World Cup Outright Winner – Argentina 10/1
They have been drawn in a tough group, they made a right mess of qualifying and defensively they look woeful at times, add to that a 6-1 defeat in Spain of late and you’d be out of your mind to back Argentina, or so you would think.
The one key factor here I always get back to is scoring goals. World Cup winners score them and Argentina have by far the most talented set of attacking players at this final, even without Messi included in that bunch. Sure their defence may let in one or two, but I can see this attack scoring three or four no problem at all.
If they don’t win their group then their route to the final gets much harder, but I think it is in these tougher games that Messi and Argentina come to life. It has been 32 years since Argentina last won the World Cup and they went close in Brazil, I think Messi will inspire them to lift it for the third time in Russia this summer.